COVID19 Update - Day 181

US Tests: 82,842,378*

US Cases: 6,275,874*

US Deaths: 181,328*

Worldwide Cases: 27,249,308*

Worldwide Deaths: 890,971*

* - Numbers are a lower bound.  True numbers are being suppressed by the Trump administration

I hate to be a broken record, but --- things are going to get much worse before they get better ---

A model produced by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and published Friday forecasts a “most likely” daily death toll of 1,907 on Election Day, roughly double the current toll. Under the IHME forecast, the numbers would continue to rise until early December, peaking at more than 2,800 deaths daily.

By year’s end, 410,000 people in the United States will have died under the model’s most-likely scenario. That’s more than double current fatalities. The model also produced best-case and worst-case scenarios — ranging from 288,000 to 620,000 deaths by Jan. 1 — depending on the degree to which people wear masks, adhere to social distancing and take other precautions.

Keep wearing those masks, keep social distancing, and don't leave the house if you don't have to!