Saturday, August 8, 2020

COVID19 Update - Day 151

US Tests: 60,806,994*
US Cases: 4,963,213*
US Deaths: 153,878*
Worldwide Cases: 19,499,341*
Worldwide Deaths: 723,881*

* - Numbers are a lower bound.  True numbers are being suppressed by the Trump administration

This is an important op-ed written by two people from my hometown who know what they're talking about.  I encourage everyone to read it in full.
To successfully drive down our case rate to less than one per 100,000 people per day, we should mandate sheltering in place for everyone but the truly essential workers. By that, we mean people must stay at home and leave only for essential reasons: food shopping and visits to doctors and pharmacies while wearing masks and washing hands frequently. According to the Economic Policy Institute, 39 percent of workers in the United States are in essential categories. The problem with the March-to-May lockdown was that it was not uniformly stringent across the country. For example, Minnesota deemed 78 percent of its workers essential. To be effective, the lockdown has to be as comprehensive and strict as possible.

If we aren’t willing to take this action, millions more cases with many more deaths are likely before a vaccine might be available. In addition, the economic recovery will be much slower, with far more business failures and high unemployment for the next year or two. The path of the virus will determine the path of the economy. There won’t be a robust economic recovery until we get control of the virus.

If we do this aggressively, the testing and tracing capacity we’ve built will support reopening the economy as other countries have done, allow children to go back to school and citizens to vote in person in November. All of this will lead to a stronger, faster economic recovery, moving people from unemployment to work.

For reasons I can't quite put my finger on, I doubt that we will get the requisite level of cooperation to implement this recommendation. 

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