Monday, November 9, 2020

COVID19 Update - Day 244

US Tests: 139,010,919*
US Cases: 9,991,822*
US Deaths: 230,312*
Worldwide Cases: 50,812,345*
Worldwide Deaths: 1,262,372*

* - Numbers are a lower bound.  True numbers are being suppressed by the Trump administration

For the first time in months, some good news.  In case you've been living in a cave for the last 12 hours, you should know that Pfizer appears to have developed a viable vaccine for the #TrumpVirus:
The company said that the analysis found that the vaccine was more than 90 percent effective in preventing the disease among trial volunteers who had no evidence of prior coronavirus infection. If the results hold up, that level of protection would put it on par with highly effective childhood vaccines for diseases such as measles. No serious safety concerns have been observed, the company said.

Pfizer plans to ask the Food and Drug Administration for emergency authorization of the two-dose vaccine later this month, after it has collected the recommended two months of safety data. By the end of the year it will have manufactured enough doses to immunize 15 million to 20 million people, company executives have said.

But, as always, make sure to read the fine print:

“We need to see the actual data, and we’re going to need longer-term results,” said Jesse Goodman, a professor of medicine and infectious diseases at Georgetown University. Still, he said, “it’s a testament to hard work and science that we’re getting results that are so good and so fast.”

Other scientists were stunned by the data so far.

“This is really a spectacular number,” said Akiko Iwasaki, an immunologist at Yale University. “I wasn’t expecting it to be this high. I was preparing myself for something like 55 percent.”

If the final vaccine ends up with that level of efficacy, it “would be higher than your regular flu vaccine, and this vaccine could have a serious impact on bending the curve of this outbreak,” said Dr. Saad B. Omer, the director of the Yale Institute for Global Health.

Dr. Jansen said that because the trial is continuing, an independent board reviewing the data has not told her or other company executives other details, such as how many of the people developed mild versus more severe forms of Covid-19 — crucial information that the F.D.A. has said it will need to evaluate any coronavirus vaccine. The agency has also asked for other detailed manufacturing and safety data that could take weeks to review.

It's not unheard of for studies such as these to promise more than they can deliver.  Nevertheless, there is reason to be hopeful that we may finally be seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment